Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 351.222908 397.513162 448.620974 509.404144 579.943791 659.487214 756.338862
2025-12-28 288.996193 351.978380 427.712234 526.215088 652.003265 808.675017 1020.802517
2026-01-04 256.759434 328.635892 420.261917 547.125078 720.579127 952.890543 1293.480873
2026-01-11 227.623124 302.801522 403.119705 549.100124 760.016916 1059.882904 1529.868182
2026-01-18 200.878763 275.745906 379.459882 536.736749 774.761374 1130.838018 1722.191912
2026-01-25 179.939509 253.821540 359.568110 525.865719 788.167558 1199.016871 1918.532903
2026-02-01 169.183810 245.045988 357.143560 539.863533 840.191797 1332.917637 2243.994592
2026-02-08 156.455643 231.826649 346.310010 538.848216 867.016296 1428.121308 2517.848560
2026-02-15 144.495635 218.514566 333.765955 533.173513 884.532660 1508.674520 2777.865315
2026-02-22 136.032581 209.829057 327.544622 536.972091 918.336732 1622.163402 3121.648096
2026-03-01 126.143692 197.932532 314.871073 528.043471 927.644008 1690.595920 3385.595905
2026-03-08 118.071742 188.325024 305.089048 523.012214 943.212553 1772.701363 3693.833682
2026-03-15 107.804814 174.387155 286.988077 501.477444 925.381728 1787.122874 3858.267671
2026-03-22 104.509030 172.118246 289.024037 517.646963 984.166917 1969.685272 4457.322722
2026-03-29 102.091497 171.136900 293.177493 538.174723 1054.420483 2188.309411 5198.331402
2026-04-05 97.260931 165.451404 288.207045 540.111854 1085.512082 2323.905450 5757.511464
2026-04-12 91.021263 156.742075 276.873848 527.982399 1084.267642 2383.627977 6123.755259
2026-04-19 85.510810 148.991206 266.746652 517.316336 1084.923910 2447.989889 6519.578758
2026-04-26 83.332480 147.307480 268.153247 531.050106 1143.392772 2666.078797 7434.053582
2026-05-03 79.642751 142.482779 262.991270 530.053978 1166.862363 2798.006887 8116.826910
2026-05-10 75.743750 136.991383 256.073558 524.486418 1178.484578 2900.324053 8732.175834
2026-05-17 73.078047 133.730325 253.420800 528.213295 1213.723694 3073.884487 9645.780281
2026-05-24 69.379600 128.185280 245.652719 519.453081 1215.933805 3154.021980 10248.750726